Portfolio Health Assessment - (6th December 2024 - 10th January 2025)

Portfolio Links

Model 1 Performance     (To know more about it click here)

Model 3 Performance    (To know more about it click here)     

Nifty Future Long-Short Strategy Performance   (To know more about it click here)

Weekly Portfolio Performance Chart

The Nifty Index experienced extremely volatile daily movement this week, closing below the 23500 hurdle once more. This week, the Midcap and Small Cap Indexes have closed in red by roughly 6% to 7%. In contrast to the RBI's prediction of 6.6%, the first advance GDP estimate for this fiscal year is 6.4%. This result cycle is going to test the Indian equity market. GST collection for December 2024 comes at 1.77 lakh crore which is 7.3% higher compared to last year. The Fed lowered its interest rate by 25 basis points, but it raised its inflation prediction for the following year from 2.1% to 2.6%. Additionally, the Fed has only indicated one rate cut for 2025, compared to its initial two rate cuts. The CPI inflation rate in India decrease from 6.21% in October to 5.48% in November and core inflation remains at 3.7%. The RBI maintained the repo rate in the recent monetary policy meeting while lowering the CRR by 50 basis points, which will increase bank liquidity by 1.16 lakh crore. India's Q2 GDP growth rate is 5.4%, which is below the expectation compared to Q1 of 6.7%.

Weekly recap:

The Nifty IT Index has outperformed the Nifty Index and 
the Bank Nifty Index has underperformed the Nifty Index this week.

This week, Nifty Midcap 100 Index is down -5.77 percent.
The Nifty Index is down -2.35 percent.

Key Levels for the Nifty Index Daily Timeframe
20   EMA - 23847
50   DMA - 24055
200 DMA - 23940

Nifty Weekly Timeframe Levels
Open - 24045.80
Low -   23344.35
High -  24089.95
Close - 23431.50

Nifty closed below 20 EMA ,200 DMA and 50 DMA suggesting down trend in the Nifty Index.

Model 1 & Model 3

This week, Model 1 is down -8.25 percent and Model 3 is down -7.80 percent.

Model 1 has underperformed the Index by -5.90 percent and Model 3 has underperformed the Index by -2.15 percent respectively.

Nifty Long-Short

The Long-Short strategy for the Nifty Index has returned a positive result of +1.09 percent this week.

Next Week Update

The Nifty Long-Short Strategy's current position is Short.

Long-term Performance Summary

Monthly Performance Summary of Models

*After brokerage and taxes, returns are determined at the performed deals.

In December 2024Models 1 and 3 returned +2.17 percent, and +10.74 percent respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's -2.02 percent return.

In December 2024, the Nifty Long-Short is up +8.72 percent.

For the Year 2024 Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long Short returned +25%+76%, and +45% respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +9%. 

For the Financial year 2023 - 2024 (1st April 2023 - 31st March  2024), Model 1, 3 and Nifty Long-Short returned +86.48%+82.78%, and +36.20%, respectively, compared to the Nifty 50 Index's return of +28.61%.

Year To Date - 2024

Models 1 and 3 returned -7.32 percent and -8 percent respectively, compared to Nifty's -0.87 percent return for 2025.

The Nifty Long-Short year-to-date return (from January 1, 2025) is now +0.76 percent, compared to the Index's -0.87 percent.

From July 12th, 2021, the Model 3 is up +130%, compared to 98% for the Nifty Midcap Index.


Summary since inception

Since its debut, Model 1 has increased by 268 percent. The Nifty index has risen by 117 percent over the same time span.

Since its debut, the Nifty long-short strategy has increased by 441 percent on capital and 817 percent on margin money.

Model 1 has been operational since July 13, 2020, whereas the Index Long-Short strategy has been operational since August 14, 2020. Model 3 has been operating since July 12, 2021.

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